Model drivers · data as of 2026-10-11
Macro
The two outside drivers the SYRUP model grows Maple with: the stablecoin market Maple lends into, and Robinhood Earn as a distribution channel.
01
Stablecoins: the market Maple lends into
Maple's deposits are dollars onchain, so the model ties core deposits to total stablecoin supply (DeFiLlama, all chains, USD-pegged).
Global stablecoin supply
$306.07B
+1.6% year on year · DeFiLlama
Model assumption
$2T → $3T
2028 → 2030 (Bessent, Nov 2025); adjustable on the model page
Global stablecoin supply
weekly · DeFiLlama
02
Robinhood Earn: the distribution channel
Earn users supply USDG; borrowers post syrupUSDG (among others) as collateral. The model grows Earn TVL to a 2030 level and keeps syrupUSDG's share.
Robinhood Earn TVL
$511.4M
Steakhouse USDG vault on Robinhood Chain
syrupUSDG share of Earn
25.1%
USDG lent against syrupUSDG ÷ Earn TVL
Robinhood Earn TVL by collateral
syrupUSDG share of Robinhood Earn
Full Robinhood Chain and Earn data: Robinhood Chain × Earn dashboard ↗